Predicting the Oscars is a fun challenge. They are a good example of non-cumulative information markets, where no information is revealed until the last minute, when the markets are resolved. And they are a clearly defined, popular set of markets, so are useful for comparisons. Following our recent
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Can prediction markets predict the Oscars?
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Predicting the Oscars is a fun challenge. They are a good example of non-cumulative information markets, where no information is revealed until the last minute, when the markets are resolved. And they are a clearly defined, popular set of markets, so are useful for comparisons. Following our recent